YARDS PER POINT
The Yards per point {YPP} of a team in football can tell you a lot about the team both offensively and defensively. The YPP is simply the amount of yards a team uses in order to score a single point. If a team has a 15.0 offensive YPP, this means the team accumulates 15 yards for every point they score. The opposite holds true for the defense, where the opposing team is accumulating X amount of yards to score one point against the defense.
The lower the offensive YPP the better the rating and the higher the defensive YPP the better the rating.
To figure a YPP line or total, you simply divide the offensive YPP into the amount of average yards the opposing team gives up per game. For example if a team has a offensive YPP of 14.0 and the opponents give an average of 300 yards per game, you can figure they will score 21 points in the game...
Do the same with the opposing team and you have a predicated score using the YPP formula...
Joe Atkins of Inside Information on www.sportsanalyst.com
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Setting up the game plan for a successful winning season includes having a strong money management program that fits your needs as a player. Hence, setting the rules for winning can make any season not only profitable, but much more enjoyable.
One money management program most widely accepted is the percentage of bankroll theory. Start with a set bankroll and limit plays to 5 to 7 % on average plays and no more than 10% on very special selections that must fall under your strict guidelines. Select only high percentage plays and limit yourself to a few games a week.
Other notes of interest...
Don't overreact to one loss or a blowout. Teams often react just the opposite the following week after that specific situation... Hunches, without study, usually are losers...
Don't over react to injuries, almost 100% of the time they have already been factored into the line, besides wounded teams are often the most dangerous...
The best college football dog plays are traditional powers receiving points...
Do your homework and prepare with all information available on certain games that your looking at for that week's action... Never play games just because they are on Television...
Never chase action when you are in a losing streak, remember if things aren't going well, have the patience to quit and wait till next week... Football handicapping is a multi-dimensional process that involves a variety of factors...
Relevant statistical data ranks high on that list and those of you that use that type of information as a supplement to your other handicapping skills will prevail in the long run... Only a few people using exhaustive analysis over an extended period of time in this business are successful and are using the right ammunition necessary to do battle with the oddsmaker on a daily and weekly basis...
Handicapping is a truth-seeking process. Most people don't view it that way... In fact, most don't even go through the process of examining data about certain matchups after they've made their initial decision that they like a game... They don't have the time, or the patience to look at different pieces of a matchup puzzle and make logical conclusions based on facts...
You can't take a shortcut and expect to win in this business over an extended period of time... There are many unpredictables in handicapping football...
ALWAYS REMEMBER, You can do all of your homework and be on the right side of a game - and still Lose!
Football is still just a game and there are no such things as sure things or locks in this business...
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OBSERVATIONS
Have you ever noticed that football teams with ball control offenses have defenses with great statistics?
That teams with turnover-prone offenses have defenses that allow a lot of points... Most everybody have heard the phrase, The best defense is a good offense... Offenses and defenses are distinct, but connected. Separate legs of the same body so to speak... How a team's defense performs is directly related to how "fresh" it is. And that freshness is directly affected by their offense's ability to run time off the clock, avoid costly turnovers, and put points on the board.
How a team's offense performs is directly related to field position it starts with. Field position is determined by how well it's defense plays by forcing turnovers or punts and getting their offense the football...
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I've seen many different approaches to betting on sporting events, some that have been extremely profitable and others that made no sense at all. There have been some revolutionary new approaches and strategies towards sports betting.
One of the things that fuels the love of sports in general, and football in particular, is the great debate... Who has the best team? Who has the best defense? Who has the best offense? Who has...
Well you get the idea... In bars across the country and in business offices the debates roar on and on each season... Fans are not the only ones who engage in this sort of conjecture... So do professional bettors across the country each and every day and week during the season... There is seldom a consensus regarding these questions each week.
Try and watch games on television every week, but, with the sound turned down. When watching a game, most people will focus on a quarterback and where the ball is going...
There are so many other faucets of a contest worth taking note of, that the average fan has no clue what is unfolding right before the naked eye. How many times have you heard a coach say they won or lost a game "in the trenches" or that they won because they "controlled the line of scrimmage."
One of the more interesting aspects of a football game is to concentrate on the line of scrimmage when watching a game...
Most of the time the team that is dominating the line of scrimmage is the team ahead on the scoreboard.
Teams will try to exploit weaknesses! When watching games and observing the line of scrimmage, you can look at teams matching up against other teams strengths and weaknesses, not only for that contest, but, for later games. This information can be very helpful in many ways.
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WHAT IT TAKES TO BE NUMBER ONE -- YOU'VE GOT TO PAY THE PRICE
I used to keep this handy on my wall in my office as Vince Lombardi talked about this sometime in the early 1960's... Then my son went to college and he decided to take this with him.
This is not only about success on the football field, but success in life.
Lombardi stated that Winning is not a sometime thing; it's an all-the-time thing. You don't win once in a while, you don't do things right once in a while, you do them right all the time.
Winning is a Habit. Unfortunately, so is losing.
There is no room for second place. There is only one place in my game and that is first place. I have finished second twice in my time at Green Bay and I don't ever want to finish second again. There is a second place bowl game, but it is a game for losers played by losers. It is and always has been an American zeal to be first in anything we do and to win and to win and to win.
Every time a football player goes out to ply his trade he's got to play from the ground up--from the soles of his feet right up to his head. Every inch of him has to play. Some guys play with their heads. That's O.K. You've got to be smart to be Number One in any business. But more important, you've got to play with your heart--with every fiber of your body. If you're lucky enough to find a guy with a lot of head and a lot of heart, he's never going to come off the field second.
Running a football team is no different from running any other kind of organization-- an Army, a Political Party, a Business.
The principles are the same. The object is to Win--to beat the other guy. Maybe that sounds hard or cruel. I don't think it is my friends.
It's a reality of life that men are competitive and the most competitive games draw the most competitive men. That's why they're there--to compete. They know the rules and the objectives when they get in the game. The objective is to Win--fairly, squarely, decently, by the rules--but to Win.
And in truth, I've never known a man worth his salt who in the long run, deep down in his heart, didn't appreciate the grind, the discipline. There is something in good men that really yearns for, needs, discipline and the harsh reality of head-to-head combat.
I don't say these things because I believe in the "brute' nature of man or that men must be brutalized to be combative. I believe in God, and I believe in human decency. But I firmly believe that any man's finest hour--his greatest fulfillment to all he holds dear--is the moment when he has worked his heart in a good cause and lies exhausted on the field of battle --Victorious!!
I have felt this way numerous times after a long grinding successful football season...
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MONEY MANAGEMENT
There exists reams of advice concerning how best to increase or preserve a sports bettor's bankroll... One thing is for certain, without some type of money management program in place, you can feel reasonably safe that you will be the one getting reamed...
Much of this advice serves only to confuse the newer players, usually discouraging him or needlessly bogging him down with mathematics and record-keeping.
What consolation is it if we WIN THE BATTLES, but LOSE THE WAR? This analogy is highly in tune with managing a Sports investors source of Betting Capital. Regardless of popular opinion, how the investor handles his, will have a direct relation to his potential profit.
Popular opinion indicates that the higher percentage of winners will produce larger profits, but I emphatically disagree. What good is it if you win 70% of time and do not exercise good money control?
The player that wins 55% of the time, using a good money management system, will make more profits than the individual with the 70% run of winners and no management program. It may not sound right, but it is true.
The player with a ratio of 70% winning selections and no management control is more apt to bet a larger amount of captial on a game at any time. Say he wins his first eight {8} bets and plays a dime{$1,000} on each selection, then he takes an attitude that he can not lose. If he doubles his unit wager and loses his next four{4} selections, he's even and has no profit to show for winning 67% of his games.This happens to the vast majority of players and this pitfall can be avoided.
To show maximum profits, The Sports Investor must utilize a form of capital control. For the novice, I suggest being aconservative.
I advocate playing on a percentage of bankroll basis. A five-percent to ten-percent bankroll plays with no more than 25% of your total bankroll exposed in any given day. Staying within these limitations, helps your emotions remain calm and monetary expectations are projected toward growth over the long range, rather than the dangerous, quick money propositions.
My attitude toward winning is enthusiastic, but somewhat reserved through this form of money control. I realize that I am not going to make the big profits right away, but my risks are minimal and my future outlooks much brighter...
If you plan to make big money as a full time sports investor, you can not be that naive as to think you can begin with a minimum bankroll. I suggest a beginning Bankroll of at least $25,000 to $50,000 depending on what your long range goals curtail...
A bankroll of $10,000 would suffice for the smaller player ,which would give you a conservative unit wager of between $500 and $700 per game If your using the percentage of bankroll theory, remember that an eight{8} percent wager now{8% times$10,000} is $800, but as your bankroll grows, that same eight{8} percent could be $1,500 in a short period of time. Be patient , while exercising good money management control.You will have many of your friends busting out around you,while your profits will continue to grow.
NEVER gamble any amount of money that you do not have... If you plan on being a Sports Investor on a full time basis, plan on starting with a sizable bankroll. You can't make $60,000 this year betting only $100 per game. Betting $3,000 per game, makes that goal within the realm of possibility as that represents 20 net units over the course of the season!
Set your goals and have the gameplan prior to the start of each sporting season.Your main objective is to maximize profits and limit your losses and this can be accomplished with proper discipline. Remember be PATIENT, have reasonable expectations in relation to the growth of your bankroll and by no means should you get greedy. A reasonable growth expectancy with the five-eight percent money system is over 100% during a sporting season.Try and find that in a bank.
Quote: People will do far more to avoid pain than they will to gain pleasure-- pain is the greater motivator.
What are your Passions in life?
The Winning Continues - You are invited to participate
From the desk of: Joe Atkins of Inside Information
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